2012年6月3日星期日

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President Hamid Karzai's visit to New Delhi on October 4 signalled a new turn in the geopolitics of India's western Afpak neighbourhood. The visit came at a time when Washington was manifesting increasing impatience and anger over Pakistan's intransigence in refusing to act against Taliban safe havens and sanctuaries in its Pashtun tribal areas, straddling the disputed Durand Line. As far as President Karzai was concerned, the proverbial last straw that broke the camel's back was the assassination of Mullah Rabbani, his high level negotiator for 'reconciliation' with the Taliban. Afghanistan's Intelligence Services soon announced that the assassin was affiliated to the Mullah Omar-led 'Quetta Shura', which is based across the Durand Line and the recipient of ISI indulgence and support. An infuriated Karzai called off the 'dialogue' with the Taliban and insinuated that it was acting at the behest of Pakistan.
New Delhi and Kabul had announced in May that they were finalizing the text of a strategic partnership agreement. The Rabbani assassination appears to have triggered a sense of urgency for concluding this agreement during the New Delhi Summit. Over the past ten years, India has steadfastly avoided getting involved in security issues in Afghanistan, recognizing that any such Indian involvement could complicate American and ISAF military strategies, because of Pakistani sensitivities. India is today Afghanistan's biggest regional aid donor and the sixth largest overall. It has pledged $2 billion for aid projects covering school education, public health, agriculture, power generation and transmission, communications and for training and education for Afghan nationals in Indian institutions. In order to end Afghanistan's dependence exclusively on Pakistan for access to the sea, India has built a highway designed to connect Afghanistan to the Iranian Port of Chah Bahar. Pakistan presently denies transit facilities to India for exports to Afghanistan. India is also completing work on the construction replicas camisetas futbol of a new Parliament for Afghanistan in Kabul.
The October 4 Karzai-Manmohan Singh Agreement gives a new strategic dimension to the India-Afghanistan relationship. It states that the two countries camiseta la galaxy will have a Strategic Dialogue to provide a framework for cooperation in the area of national security. This dialogue is to be held regularly between the National Security Advisers. The Agreement also states that 'India agrees to assist, as mutually determined, in the training, equipping and capacity building programmes for Afghan National Security Forces'. India will not, however, get involved in combat operations in Afghanistan. With American Forces scheduled to end combat operations by December 2014, the Karzai dispensation appears keen to ensure that the institutions of a close camiseta lazio neighbour are also involved in arming, training and equipping its armed forces. The Obama Administration has welcomed this development. Washington was evidently kept in the loop about discussions on the strategic partnership agreement.

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